US v China war: If conflict broke out, who would win? China produces more ships, steel and smartphones than any other country and is a world leader in the production of chemicals, metals, heavy industrial equipment and electronics the basic building blocks of a military-industrial economy. Then, it was mainly Germany, and from the 1930s Japan. "I hope they don't mean that, just as Britain has the Gurkhas, the Americans have us. Principles matter, he writes. Destroy the offensive capability of the PLAN and People . What determines victory, loss or stalemate between the US and China is likely to be determined by the murky calculus of how much risk and how much pain and loss both sides could endure. No emergency stockpiles have been established onshore. Russia-Ukraine war: Why does China suddenly seem to want to broker In Australia do these commentators truly believe what they have been saying or is it bluff? Don't Do It: An All-Out War With China Could End Humanity It is a bad idea to get into a shooting war with a fellow nuclear power. But it took four vulnerable tanker aircraft to carry them over that 6000km round trip. But this will take time. Tensions between China and Taiwan have been escalating for years, with Beijing now sending fighter jets and nuclear-capable bombers into Taiwan's air defence zone on a near-daily basis. "Along with military mobilisation China would need to prepare its citizens and economy for a protracted conflict. Hugh White, an emeritus professor of strategic studies at the Australian National University, has warned about the serious consequences that could arise from not adequately addressing tensions. Follow The New York Times Opinion section on Facebook, Twitter (@NYTopinion) and Instagram. "Australia's armed forces add very little by way of capability to those of the US. "Australia is never reluctant to support and participate in American adventurism. One year on: European and American attitudes to the war in Ukraine At least initially, the bulk of any such conflict would be at sea. These are all Cold War allies of the US, but they have not had to think about war in the region since the 1970s. Failing to come to Taiwans aid would seriously weaken and perhaps destroy Americas position in Asia, and our alliance with America would be seriously weakened if not destroyed if we failed to support the US. "Australia's real utility is as a strategic asset, giving both legitimacy and credibility to the US decision to employ its very formidable military force, and at the same time providing the US with a secure rear that could guarantee logistic and operational support. How Australia could be forced to go to WAR as tensions between China Some 64 percent of Australians viewed a potential military conflict between the U.S. and China as a "critical threat" to Australia's national interests, behind Russia's foreign policy (68 percent . And they cannot be rearmed at sea. The world in 2025: China loses power, Russia 'won't exist' While the US remains ahead in space for now, Davis says how long US dominance lasts is not clear. Far fewer know their real story. Who would win in a war between Australia and Indonesia? On the military front, the United States should accelerate programs already underway to strengthen and disperse American forces in the Western Pacific to make them less vulnerable to attacks by China. Ifthey think the blockade is failing they may declare victory by pointing to the damage already inflicted, or they might escalate to attacking US forces that are supporting Taiwan. "China's leaders could discreetly offer negotiations to Taiwan's leaders during a blockade before the risky step of ordering an amphibious invasion," Professor Fernandes says. The US could no longer win a war against China - news Its military budget is greater than the combined expenditure of India, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. China is aware of this gap. Would Japan? Beyond out-producing the US Navy in the number of warships at a rate of four to one, the PLA Strategic Rocket Force has put US aircraft carriers at risk with the fielding of the DF-21D and DF-26 anti-carrier ballistic missiles, Mr Fanell said. "It would also have to be true that if any of the commentators were taken seriously the impact of this reality of preparing for war with China would now be affecting us all. Why are Australian officials hinting at war with China? | CNN "Furthermore, in the lead up to March 20, 2003,I was working at Oxford and bearing witness to significant questioning of the intention to invade Iraq through public dissent "not in our name Mr Blair". Credit:Getty. I told President Xi that we will maintain a strong military presence in the Indo-Pacific just as we do with NATO in Europe not to start conflict, but to prevent conflict, US President Joe Biden told a joint session of Congress in April. If the US went to war with China, who would win? - Nikkei Asia China-US superpower showdown: military strength Credit:Matthew Absalom-Wong. China could also weaponize its dominance of supply chains and shipping. Former defence minister, Christopher Pyne, told an audience in Adelaide that Taiwan was the most likely next flashpoint in the region. If China chooses to attack the island of Taiwan, the United States could be helpless to stop it. And that takes the issue of US-China military prowess back to the all-important issue of politics. The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. Your Nuclear Attack Map for 2023 - mirasafety.com "On the other hand, if the US decided to attack China the provocation becomes essential to decision making. Vertical launch systems (VLS) are the modern-day equivalent of the World War II-era big gun. Russia's struggles in Ukraine are showing US special operators that they'll need to fight without their 'tethers' to win future wars. Then theres the sheer difficulty the United States would face waging war thousands of miles across the Pacific against an adversary that has the worlds largest navy and Asias biggest air force. "But, in a large-scale war involving many hundreds of thousands of people in offensive and defensive operations, even before reaching the attendant prospect of reaching a nuclear war threshold, Australia is unlikely to make a substantial difference. "Today we can see change for the worse all over the globe. If the US went to war with China, who would win? "Wars contain elements of the irrational: pride, fear, ego, confidence, humiliation, and other emotions that elude our attempts at calculation. Meia Nouwens from the International Institute for Strategic Studies said Beijing was intent on achieving primacy in the waters that surround China. 'Nuclear': Grim prediction for what war with China would look like - Yahoo! This is what a statesman should do as a risk averse response. Are bills set to rise? Space would be the first place both sides would go to strike the others forces in event of a conflict, says Tate Nurkin of the US-based Intelligence Group. China would seek to pluck out the eyes and ears of the US and allies to make them blind on the battlefield, said Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. "But the prospect of war with China raises very different possibilities including for example, the significant likelihood that aircraft, ships and submarines we committed would be destroyed, with the potential for very high casualties among the crews. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. The United States has vital strategic interests at stake. It isn't Ukraine. Also, we do not have the equivalent of the Chilcott report to illuminate the story. Inflation and unemployment would surge, especially in the period in which the economy is repurposed for the war effort, which might include some automobile manufacturers switching to building aircraft or food-processing companies converting to production of priority pharmaceuticals. The collapse of the League of Nations and the dreadful cost of war held hard lessons for how we had to manage international relationships better. Fundamentally, it would follow the strategic prescriptions of Sun Tzu in The Art of War. I don't think so! And doesnt have the necessary reach. In such a scenario, any Australian task force centred on its largely undefended troop transports and limited warship escorts would be under extreme risk. What would war with China look like for Australia? Part 1 I think China now has adequate forces, including air, missile, electronic warfare, spec ops, naval, undersea and nuclear, to likely prevail in the first phase and perhaps in subsequent phases too.. No other country on the planet, save New Zealand, is better placed from a purely defensive perspective. "But it is an entirely different story with China. 2. "It depends. "Notwithstanding their entirely different circumstances, for Australia to support Taiwan against China would be similar to Australia's supporting Catalonia against the Castilians. Peter Dutton says Australia should prepare for war. So how likely is a "It would suffer high attrition and its military modernisation and even its one-party Communist rule would be threatened. A blockade, he says, would mean that 80 per cent of ships and aircraft would be unable to pass. The four have more than 100 years of high-level military and strategic experience between them. A former US Army lieutenant colonel has warned of a possible "nuclear exchange" if the US breaks out into war with China. "The consequences for us would be very serious in terms of the Australian economy, the impact on the Australian people and the ravages to our way of life throughout the land, he says. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time), abc.net.au/news/what-would-war-with-china-look-like-for-australia-part-1/101328632, Help keep family & friends informed by sharing this article, Defence Department: Leading Seaman Daniel Goodman, Looking deeper at China's military strategy, The conversation we need to have about China, These engineers break their silenceafterdecade of criticism over2011 Queensland flood handling, Tens of thousands of pigs and buffalo pegged for mass culls in Kakadu, in bid to curb feral animals, With Russian forces closing, Svyat rolled the dice in the last days before Bakhmut fell, Anna called police to report an assault, but it backfired and she lost her home, Home ownership remains in fantasy territory for many. Don't Do It: An All-Out War With China Could End Humanity And all are watching with great interest as the drums of war beat in some quarters regarding a possible war with China. A war with China over Taiwan, awful as that would be, involves no Australian national interests. How Australia's way of life could change if we're pulled into war with The Australian Imperial Force (AIF) was of marginal utility. Chinese strategists see these passages as crucial to their ability to deploy forces beyond the first island chain, analyst Ben Lowsen told The Diplomat.
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